2015 MORPS Team Projections

MORPS 2015 team projections are finished and posted below.  2014 team projections only picked 40% of the playoff teams which is worse than past years.  Teams like Baltimore and San Francisco were surprises while Texas and Colorado were major disappointments.  Between 2013 and 2010, MORPS team projections averaged 73%.  We are hoping to get back on the winning track this year.

This year’s team projections are as follows:

American League

2014 AL East

Wins

Losses

Boston

88

74

Toronto

88

74

Tampa Bay

82

80

New York

78

84

Baltimore

75

87

2014 AL Central

Wins

Losses

Detroit

88

74

Cleveland

83

79

Chicago

83

79

Kansas City

80

82

Minnesota

72

90

2014 AL West

Wins

Losses

Seattle

89

73

Los Angeles

87

75

Texas

77

85

Oakland

76

86

Houston

72

90

 

National League

2014 NL East

Wins

Losses

Washington

91

71

New York

83

79

Miami

79

83

Atlanta

77

85

Philadelphia

74

88

2014 NL Central

Wins

Losses

Saint Louis

85

77

Pittsburgh

84

78

Chicago

82

80

Milwaukee

81

81

Cincinnati

75

87

2014 NL West

Wins

Losses

Los Angeles

94

68

San Francisco

80

82

Arizona

79

83

San Diego

77

85

Colorado

73

89

The Division winners in the NL are Washington, Saint Louis and Los Angeles with Pittsburgh and New York slipping in as the wild card teams.  Yes, I know – I just predicated the Mets to make the playoffs – go figure.  The American League Division winners will be Boston, Detroit and Seattle with Toronto and Los Angeles as the wild card teams.

While the team with the most wins don’t always do that well in the playoffs, such distinctions can’t be made with a projection system built around “Runs Created” and “Runs Allowed”.  However, “Runs Created” and “Runs Allowed” do not always translate into the same number of wins if one team plays in a tougher division than another.  MORPS is projecting an AL championship between Boston and Toronto with Boston going to the world series.  In the National League it will be Los Angeles versus Washington with Los Angeles going to the world series.  MORPS projects that the Dodgers will win the series in 6 games.

Those that want more information on the projection methodology can click here.

As always, feel free to post your comments.

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