2013 MORPS MLB Team Projections are outlined below.  Unlike last year, I am not going to introduce the projections one team at a time.  One advantage of moving to a relational database is that the formulas, once applied correctly, are available for all teams in all divisions.

Projections were somewhat easier this year because all divisions in both leagues have the same number of teams.  This means that each team plays the same number of games within their respective divisions and leagues as well as the same number of inter-league games.  This does not mean that the competition that each team plays is the same.  Some divisions, as always, are stronger than others.

I must admit that my projections were a surprise.  They certainly don’t align with the messages I am hearing on major talk radio shows over the last month.  No one has Boston on top of the American League East.  Their pitching staff is projected to be one of the five worst in the American League.  However, their offense is projected to be the best in the majors.  One team that has received a lot of attention in recent weeks is the Cleveland Indians.  Their offense is certainly going to be better than last year, but their starting pitching is projected to be the worst in baseball.

Projected division winners in the American League are Detroit, Los Angeles, and Boston.  New York and Texas are projected to be the AL wild card teams.  The National League division winners are Atlanta, San Francisco and Cincinnati.  The NL wild card teams are Saint Louis and Washington.  I found it interesting that four National League teams have an equivalent projection of 88 wins.  Unlike the American League, the National League doesn’t have any run away division winners.

Those that want more information on the projection methodology can click here.

As always, feel free to post your comments.